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A hybrid Cournot-linear supply function equilibria of coupled electricity and hydrogen markets: An equivalent optimization approach

F.A. Campos, G. Gavilanes Domínguez, L.A. Herrero, J. Villar

International Journal of Hydrogen Energy Vol. 236, pp. 155186

Resumen:

Hydrogen is becoming a key energy carrier in the transition toward decarbonization, as electrolysis creates strong interdependencies between electricity and hydrogen markets. Accurately representing strategic behaviour in these coupled markets is essential, yet current models fail to capture price-responsive bidding. To address this, a joint hybrid Cournot-Linear Supply Function Equilibria (CLSFE) model is developed and reformulated as an equivalent optimization problem, enabling tractable large-scale analysis. The model is applied to the Iberian system for 2030 and compared with perfect competition and Cournot benchmarks. Results show that hydrogen prices are lowest under CLSFE, with a reduction of about 44% relative to perfect competition and 10% to Cournot, while hydrogen demand increases by up to 58%. Electrolytic hydrogen production rises up to 92%, displacing grey hydrogen and reducing hydrogen-sector emissions. However, renewable self-curtailment reaches 82 TWh, indicating increased market power. These results highlight cross-sector trade-offs and support market design and policy analysis.


Resumen divulgativo:

El hidrógeno verde es clave para la descarbonización, y conecta los mercados de hidrógeno y electricidad. Este estudio utiliza un modelo de equilibrio en funciones de suministro para analizar estos mercados, aplicado al MIBEL, destacando el papel del hidrógeno en la descarbonización.

 


Palabras Clave: Electricity and hydrogen markets; Sector coupling; Supply functions; Nash equilibrium; Linear programming


Índice de impacto JCR-JIF y cuartil WoS: 9,200 - Q1 (2025)

Referencia DOI: DOI icon https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijhydene.2026.155186

Publicado en papel: Mayo 2026.

Publicado on-line: Abril 2026.



Cita:
F.A. Campos, G. Gavilanes Domínguez, L.A. Herrero, J. Villar, "A hybrid Cournot-linear supply function equilibria of coupled electricity and hydrogen markets: An equivalent optimization approach", International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, Vol. 236, pp. 155186, Mayo 2026. [Online: Abril 2026] doi: 10.1016/j.ijhydene.2026.155186

    Líneas de investigación:
  • Planificación y operación de redes y de recursos energéticos distribuidos
  • Integración de energía renovable
  • Modelos de mercado eléctrico para alta penetración de generación renovable
  • Escenarios energéticos de largo plazo
    Grupos de investigación:
  • Instituto de Investigación Tecnológica (IIT)
    ODS:
  • Objetivo 9: Industria, innovación e infraestructuras
  • Objetivo 7: Energía asequible y no contaminante
  • Objetivo 13: Acción por el clima

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